Jarred Brooks vs Lucas Rocha
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-6-0Record18-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'3"Height5'2"
62"Reach64"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Mash Fight TeamTeamRenovacao Coari Team· 1674 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1692
If they lose-12→ 1668
If they win+16→ 1703
If they lose-16→ 1671
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1559 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1549 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jarred BrooksLucas Rocha
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Lucas Rocha51%
Jarred Brooks 49%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Lucas Rocha a 51% favorite over Jarred Brooks in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1680 vs 1687), separated by just 7 points.
Jarred Brooks enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jarred Brooks finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Lucas Rocha 78%.
Lucas Rocha carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.