Combat Edge Intelligence

Jason DeLucia vs Norbert Pietrzak

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

33-21-1Record3-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height6'3"
TBDReach-
190 lbsWeight206 lbs
TBDTeamPro-Core HQ

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jason DeLuciaNow 1544
If they win+12→ 1556
If they lose-12→ 1532
Norbert PietrzakNow 1553
If they win+23→ 1576
If they lose-25→ 1528

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1484 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jason DeLuciaNorbert Pietrzak
155020072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (21%)
KO/TKO
2 (67%)
13 (39%)
Submission
0 (0%)
13 (39%)
Decision
1 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Norbert Pietrzak67%
Jason DeLucia 33%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Norbert Pietrzak a 67% favorite over Jason DeLucia in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1544 vs 1553), separated by just 9 points.

Jason DeLucia enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jason DeLucia finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Norbert Pietrzak 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.