Jason Lambert vs Marc-André Barriault
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-13-0Record17-11-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height6'1"
TBDReach74"
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
Alliance MMATeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1648
If they lose-12→ 1624
If they win+12→ 1650
If they lose-12→ 1626
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1576 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1680 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jason LambertMarc-André Barriault
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marc-André Barriault70%
Jason Lambert 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Marc-André Barriault a 70% favorite over Jason Lambert in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1636 vs 1638), separated by just 2 points.
Marc-André Barriault enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jason Lambert finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Marc-André Barriault 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.