Combat Edge Intelligence

Jason Lambert vs Oscar Ravello

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jason Lambert
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Jason Lambert

“The Punisher”

26-13-0Light HeavyweightBFC

1636Solid

Tale of the tape

26-13-0Record13-4-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height5'10"
TBDReach72"
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
Alliance MMA· 1649 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamTeam FFC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jason LambertNow 1636
If they win+12→ 1648
If they lose-12→ 1624
Oscar RavelloNow 1634
If they win+16→ 1650
If they lose-16→ 1618

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1576 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1516 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.21
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
58%
Strike accuracy
Not available
1.84
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
51%
Strike defense
Not available
1.35
Takedown avg.
Not available
36%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
29%
Takedown defense
Not available
2.36
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Jason LambertOscar Ravello
16502014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

16 (62%)
KO/TKO
7 (54%)
6 (23%)
Submission
3 (23%)
4 (15%)
Decision
3 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Oscar Ravello52%
Jason Lambert 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Oscar Ravello a 52% favorite over Jason Lambert in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jason Lambert's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1636 vs 1634), separated by just 2 points.

Jason Lambert finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Oscar Ravello 77%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.