Jason Thacker vs Ondřej Raška
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
0-1-0Record12-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'2"
TBDReach-
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
TBDTeamJetsaam Gym Brno
What's at stake
Jason Thacker is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Ondřej Raška carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1506
If they lose-25→ 1458
If they win+17→ 1483
If they lose-15→ 1451
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1645 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1499 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jason ThackerOndřej Raška
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ondřej Raška57%
Jason Thacker 43%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Ondřej Raška a 57% favorite over Jason Thacker in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jason Thacker's way (48%).
Jason Thacker holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1483 to 1466, a 17-point edge.
Ondřej Raška 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.