Combat Edge Intelligence

Jean Matsumoto vs Sarvarjon Khamidov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-2-0Record17-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'6"
68"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Inside Muay ThaiTeam55 Spirit Dushanbe

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jean MatsumotoNow 1754
If they win+16→ 1770
If they lose-16→ 1738
Sarvarjon KhamidovNow 1752
If they win+16→ 1768
If they lose-16→ 1736

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1627 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1567 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.37
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
40%
Strike accuracy
TBD
5.41
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
48%
Strike defense
TBD
3
Takedown avg.
TBD
49%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
56%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.53
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jean MatsumotoSarvarjon Khamidov
1750202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (17%)
KO/TKO
5 (29%)
6 (33%)
Submission
5 (29%)
9 (50%)
Decision
7 (41%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Jean Matsumoto and Sarvarjon Khamidov within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1754 vs 1752), separated by just 2 points.

Jean Matsumoto finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Sarvarjon Khamidov 59%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.