Combat Edge Intelligence

Jean Matsumoto vs Sarvarjon Khamidov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-2-0Record17-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'6"
68"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Inside Muay Thai· 1671 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeam55 Spirit Dushanbe

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jean MatsumotoNow 1756
If they win+16→ 1772
If they lose-16→ 1740
Sarvarjon KhamidovNow 1751
If they win+16→ 1767
If they lose-16→ 1735

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1631 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1565 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

5.37
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
40%
Strike accuracy
Not available
5.41
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
48%
Strike defense
Not available
3
Takedown avg.
Not available
49%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
56%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.53
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Jean MatsumotoSarvarjon Khamidov
1750202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (17%)
KO/TKO
5 (29%)
6 (33%)
Submission
5 (29%)
9 (50%)
Decision
7 (41%)

Combat Edge model read

Jean Matsumoto63%
Sarvarjon Khamidov 37%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Jean Matsumoto a 63% favorite over Sarvarjon Khamidov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1756 vs 1751), separated by just 5 points.

Jean Matsumoto finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Sarvarjon Khamidov 59%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.