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Combat Edge Intelligence

Jhon Rivera vs Lone’er Kavanagh

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jhon Rivera
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Jhon Rivera

“Charanguerito”

10-1-0FlyweightInka MMA

1675Good

Tale of the tape

10-1-0Record10-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'4"
-Reach67"
125 lbsWeight126 lbs
Pitbull Martial Arts Center· 1671 avg Elo · 10 ratedTeamGreat Britain Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jhon RiveraNow 1675
If they win+16→ 1691
If they lose-16→ 1659
Lone’er KavanaghNow 1671
If they win+16→ 1687
If they lose-16→ 1655

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1497 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1595 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
4.13
Not available
Strike accuracy
50%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.94
Not available
Strike defense
54%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.12
Not available
Takedown accuracy
0%
Not available
Takedown defense
83%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.37

Trajectory

Jhon RiveraLone’er Kavanagh
15001550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (30%)
KO/TKO
4 (40%)
3 (30%)
Submission
1 (10%)
4 (40%)
Decision
5 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Lone’er Kavanagh63%
Jhon Rivera 37%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Lone’er Kavanagh a 63% favorite over Jhon Rivera in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jhon Rivera's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1675 vs 1671), separated by just 4 points.

Jhon Rivera enters on a 9-fight win streak.

Jhon Rivera finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Lone’er Kavanagh 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.