Combat Edge Intelligence

João Vitor Pereira vs Victor Gabriel

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

4-2-0Record8-7-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'7"
-Reach-
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
Alcateia MMA· 1554 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamTeam Furao

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

João Vitor PereiraNow 1528
If they win+24→ 1552
If they lose-24→ 1504
Victor GabrielNow 1526
If they win+16→ 1542
If they lose-16→ 1510

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1519 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

João Vitor PereiraVictor Gabriel
150015501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (25%)
KO/TKO
5 (63%)
3 (75%)
Submission
2 (25%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Victor Gabriel52%
João Vitor Pereira 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Victor Gabriel a 52% favorite over João Vitor Pereira in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans João Vitor Pereira's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1528 vs 1526), separated by just 2 points.

João Vitor Pereira enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

João Vitor Pereira finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Victor Gabriel 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.