Combat Edge Intelligence

Joao Roque vs Karol Ryšavý

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-2-4Record15-10-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'11"
TBDReach-
145 lbsWeight146 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamSpartakus Fight Gym· 1656 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Joao RoqueNow 1586
If they win+16→ 1602
If they lose-16→ 1570
Karol RyšavýNow 1588
If they win+16→ 1604
If they lose-16→ 1572

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1536 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1574 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Joao RoqueKarol Ryšavý
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
7 (47%)
5 (71%)
Submission
6 (40%)
2 (29%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Karol Ryšavý77%
Joao Roque 23%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Karol Ryšavý a 77% favorite over Joao Roque in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1586 vs 1588), separated by just 2 points.

Joao Roque enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Joao Roque finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Karol Ryšavý 87%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.