Combat Edge Intelligence

Joaquim Silva vs Steve Collins

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-5-0Record7-0-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'10"
69"Reach-
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
American Top TeamTeamGilbert Grappling· 1560 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Joaquim SilvaNow 1650
If they win+16→ 1666
If they lose-16→ 1634
Steve CollinsNow 1650
If they win+24→ 1674
If they lose-24→ 1626

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1676 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.66
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
43%
Strike accuracy
Not available
4.53
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
53%
Strike defense
Not available
0.39
Takedown avg.
Not available
50%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
69%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.78
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Joaquim SilvaSteve Collins
1550160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (50%)
KO/TKO
3 (43%)
3 (21%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (29%)
Decision
4 (57%)

Combat Edge model read

Joaquim Silva58%
Steve Collins 42%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Joaquim Silva a 58% favorite over Steve Collins in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1650 vs 1650), separated by just 0 points.

Steve Collins enters on a 7-fight win streak.

Joaquim Silva finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Steve Collins 43%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.