Combat Edge Intelligence

John Teixeira vs Mathias Prehofer

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

27-9-2Record8-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'6"
TBDReach-
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamRoberto Pastuch Dojo

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

John TeixeiraNow 1594
If they win+12→ 1606
If they lose-12→ 1582
Mathias PrehoferNow 1592
If they win+16→ 1608
If they lose-16→ 1576

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1553 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1498 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.36
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
35%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.20
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
63%
Strike defense
Not available
1
Takedown avg.
Not available
27%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
71%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.67
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

John TeixeiraMathias Prehofer
15001550160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (30%)
KO/TKO
4 (50%)
10 (37%)
Submission
1 (13%)
9 (33%)
Decision
3 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Mathias Prehofer59%
John Teixeira 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mathias Prehofer a 59% favorite over John Teixeira in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans John Teixeira's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1594 vs 1592), separated by just 2 points.

John Teixeira enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

John Teixeira finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Mathias Prehofer 63%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.