Johnny Santos vs Mataeo Garner
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
1-0-0Record4-3-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height5'9"
-Reach70"
195 lbsWeight185 lbs
Teixeira MMA & Fitness· 1638 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamInferno MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1530
If they lose-24→ 1482
If they win+24→ 1531
If they lose-24→ 1483
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1560 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1517 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Johnny SantosMataeo Garner
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Johnny Santos51%
Mataeo Garner 49%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Johnny Santos a 51% favorite over Mataeo Garner in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mataeo Garner's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1506 vs 1507), separated by just 1 points.
Mataeo Garner enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Mataeo Garner 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.