Combat Edge Intelligence

Jonathan Garcia vs Eduardo Garagorri

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-2-0Record15-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'10"
-Reach70"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Cicero CostaTeamFronteira Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jonathan GarciaNow 1583
If they win+24→ 1607
If they lose-24→ 1559
Eduardo GaragorriNow 1583
If they win+16→ 1599
If they lose-16→ 1567

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1504 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1576 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.42
TBD
Strike accuracy
51%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.36
TBD
Strike defense
58%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.48
TBD
Takedown accuracy
100%
TBD
Takedown defense
62%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Jonathan GarciaEduardo Garagorri
1500155016002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (20%)
KO/TKO
6 (40%)
3 (60%)
Submission
6 (40%)
1 (20%)
Decision
3 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Jonathan Garcia61%
Eduardo Garagorri 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jonathan Garcia a 61% favorite over Eduardo Garagorri in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1583 vs 1583), separated by just 0 points.

Jonathan Garcia enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Jonathan Garcia finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Eduardo Garagorri 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.