Jonathan Martin vs Tim Wilde
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-3-0Record17-7-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'11"
71.5"Reach75"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Carolina Combat Sports and FitnessTeamRenegade MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1622
If they lose-16→ 1590
If they win+16→ 1621
If they lose-16→ 1589
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1499 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1581 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jonathan MartinTim Wilde
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jonathan Martin60%
Tim Wilde 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jonathan Martin a 60% favorite over Tim Wilde in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1606 vs 1605), separated by just 1 points.
Jonathan Martin finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Tim Wilde 47%.
Tim Wilde carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.