Combat Edge Intelligence

Jonathan Martinez vs Lewis McGrillen

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

19-6-0Record13-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'6"
70"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Factory XTeamManchester Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jonathan MartinezNow 1678
If they win+16→ 1694
If they lose-16→ 1662
Lewis McGrillenNow 1677
If they win+16→ 1693
If they lose-16→ 1661

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1714 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.44
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
50%
Strike accuracy
Not available
4.09
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
57%
Strike defense
Not available
0.38
Takedown avg.
Not available
36%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
68%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.08
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Jonathan MartinezLewis McGrillen
165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (47%)
KO/TKO
10 (77%)
2 (11%)
Submission
1 (8%)
8 (42%)
Decision
2 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

Jonathan Martinez67%
Lewis McGrillen 33%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jonathan Martinez a 67% favorite over Lewis McGrillen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1678 vs 1677), separated by just 1 points.

Jonathan Martinez enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Jonathan Martinez finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Lewis McGrillen 85%.

Jonathan Martinez carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.