Jonathan Piersma vs Rhys McKee
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
12-4-0Record15-7-1
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'1"
73"Reach78"
173 lbsWeight170 lbs
Synthesis BJJTeamNext Generation Northern Ireland
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1666
If they lose-16→ 1634
If they win+16→ 1664
If they lose-16→ 1632
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1550 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1645 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jonathan PiersmaRhys McKee
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Jonathan Piersma and Rhys McKee within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1650 vs 1648), separated by just 2 points.
Jonathan Piersma finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Rhys McKee 93%.
Rhys McKee carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.