Combat Edge Intelligence

Jordan Fongno vs Willer Alves

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-1-0Record4-0-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'2"
-Reach-
185 lbsWeight184 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jordan FongnoNow 1598
If they win+24→ 1622
If they lose-24→ 1574
Willer AlvesNow 1598
If they win+24→ 1622
If they lose-24→ 1574

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1542 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Jordan FongnoWiller Alves
15001550160020252026

Win method breakdown

1 (25%)
KO/TKO
1 (25%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (50%)
3 (75%)
Decision
1 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Jordan Fongno59%
Willer Alves 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jordan Fongno a 59% favorite over Willer Alves in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1598 vs 1598), separated by just 0 points.

Jordan Fongno enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Willer Alves enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Jordan Fongno finishes 25% of wins inside the distance, Willer Alves 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.