Combat Edge Intelligence

Jordan Walters vs Nurbek Abdykadyrov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

2-0-0Record7-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
TBDHeight5'8"
-Reach-
155 lbsWeight147 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jordan WaltersNow 1555
If they win+24→ 1579
If they lose-24→ 1531
Nurbek AbdykadyrovNow 1556
If they win+16→ 1572
If they lose-16→ 1540

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Jordan WaltersNurbek Abdykadyrov
15502026

Win method breakdown

1 (50%)
KO/TKO
3 (43%)
1 (50%)
Submission
1 (14%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Nurbek Abdykadyrov61%
Jordan Walters 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Nurbek Abdykadyrov a 61% favorite over Jordan Walters in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1555 vs 1556), separated by just 1 points.

Jordan Walters enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Nurbek Abdykadyrov 57%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.