Combat Edge Intelligence

Jorge Calvo vs Thiago Taveira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-8-0Record11-4-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'4"
66"Reach-
125 lbsWeight126 lbs
Athletic AdvanceTeamInside Muay Thai

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jorge CalvoNow 1632
If they win+12→ 1644
If they lose-12→ 1620
Thiago TaveiraNow 1632
If they win+16→ 1648
If they lose-16→ 1616

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1554 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1522 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jorge CalvoThiago Taveira
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (5%)
KO/TKO
11 (100%)
11 (55%)
Submission
0 (0%)
8 (40%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Thiago Taveira73%
Jorge Calvo 27%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Thiago Taveira a 73% favorite over Jorge Calvo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jorge Calvo's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1632 vs 1632), separated by just 0 points.

Jorge Calvo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jorge Calvo finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Thiago Taveira 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.