Jorge Calvo vs Tumelo Manyamala
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-8-0Record8-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'9"
66"Reach70.5"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Athletic AdvanceTeamPride Fighting Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1642
If they lose-12→ 1618
If they win+16→ 1642
If they lose-16→ 1610
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1547 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jorge CalvoTumelo Manyamala
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tumelo Manyamala73%
Jorge Calvo 27%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Tumelo Manyamala a 73% favorite over Jorge Calvo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jorge Calvo's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1630 vs 1626), separated by just 4 points.
Jorge Calvo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jorge Calvo finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Tumelo Manyamala 88%.
Tumelo Manyamala carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.