Jose Mendez vs Landry Ward
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-2-0Record10-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height6'1"
-Reach71"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Spokane Valley BJJTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1630
If they lose-16→ 1598
If they win+16→ 1633
If they lose-16→ 1601
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1477 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jose MendezLandry Ward
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jose Mendez60%
Landry Ward 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jose Mendez a 60% favorite over Landry Ward in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Landry Ward's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1614 vs 1617), separated by just 3 points.
Landry Ward enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Jose Mendez finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Landry Ward 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.