Combat Edge Intelligence

Josef Štummer vs Kamuela Kirk

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Kamuela Kirk
us

Kamuela Kirk

“The Jawaiian”

12-7-0LightweightUFC

1586Solid

Tale of the tape

7-2-0Record12-7-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'9"
TBDReach75"
148 lbsWeight155 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Josef ŠtummerNow 1586
If they win+24→ 1610
If they lose-24→ 1562
Kamuela KirkNow 1586
If they win+16→ 1602
If they lose-16→ 1570

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1485 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1594 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
3.22
Not available
Strike accuracy
50%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.87
Not available
Strike defense
40%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.50
Not available
Takedown accuracy
26%
Not available
Takedown defense
47%
Not available
Submission avg.
1.20

Trajectory

Josef ŠtummerKamuela Kirk
155016002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (14%)
KO/TKO
5 (42%)
2 (29%)
Submission
6 (50%)
4 (57%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Kamuela Kirk72%
Josef Štummer 28%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kamuela Kirk a 72% favorite over Josef Štummer in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Josef Štummer's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1586 vs 1586), separated by just 0 points.

Josef Štummer enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Kamuela Kirk enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Josef Štummer finishes 43% of wins inside the distance, Kamuela Kirk 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.