Josh Fremd vs Tim Boetsch
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-6-0Record21-13-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height6'0"
76"Reach74,0"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Factory XTeamTeam Irish
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1646
If they lose-16→ 1614
If they win+12→ 1643
If they lose-12→ 1619
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1607 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1692 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Josh FremdTim Boetsch
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Josh Fremd70%
Tim Boetsch 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Josh Fremd a 70% favorite over Tim Boetsch in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tim Boetsch's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1630 vs 1631), separated by just 1 points.
Tim Boetsch enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Josh Fremd finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Tim Boetsch 76%.
Josh Fremd carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.