Combat Edge Intelligence

Josh Thomson vs Miloš Janičić

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

22-9-0Record19-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'11"
TBDReach72.4"
153 lbsWeight156 lbs
American Kickboxing Academy· 1640 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamUFD Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Josh ThomsonNow 1683
If they win+12→ 1695
If they lose-12→ 1671
Miloš JaničićNow 1690
If they win+16→ 1706
If they lose-16→ 1674

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1671 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1535 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.59
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
48%
Strike accuracy
Not available
2.12
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
64%
Strike defense
Not available
1.92
Takedown avg.
Not available
40%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
55%
Takedown defense
Not available
1.34
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Josh ThomsonMiloš Janičić
1700201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (32%)
KO/TKO
11 (58%)
9 (41%)
Submission
8 (42%)
6 (27%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Josh Thomson56%
Miloš Janičić 44%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Josh Thomson a 56% favorite over Miloš Janičić in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Miloš Janičić's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1683 vs 1690), separated by just 7 points.

Josh Thomson finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Miloš Janičić 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.