Combat Edge Intelligence

Joshua Onwordi vs Ryan Garcia

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Ryan Garcia
us

Ryan Garcia

“King Ryan”

25-2-0welterweightBOXING

1500Provisional

Tale of the tape

7-7-0Record25-2-0
WelterweightDivisionwelterweight
5'9"Height5'9"
-Reach70"
171 lbsWeight147 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Joshua OnwordiNow 1499
If they win+16→ 1515
If they lose-16→ 1483
Ryan GarciaNow 1500
If they win+24→ 1524
If they lose-24→ 1476

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1501 · 10 fightsPre-fight EloTBD

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
Not available
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
20 (80%)
2 (29%)
Submission
0 (0%)
5 (71%)
Decision
5 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Joshua Onwordi53%
Ryan Garcia 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Joshua Onwordi a 53% favorite over Ryan Garcia in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ryan Garcia's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1499 vs 1500), separated by just 1 points.

Joshua Onwordi finishes 29% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Garcia 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.