Combat Edge Intelligence

Joshua Onwordi vs Shonie Carter

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Shonie Carter
us

Shonie Carter

“Mr. International”

52-32-7MiddleweightZP

1497Average

Tale of the tape

7-7-0Record52-32-7
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height5'9"
-ReachTBD
171 lbsWeight176 lbs
BKK FightersTeamIron Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Joshua OnwordiNow 1502
If they win+16→ 1518
If they lose-16→ 1486
Shonie CarterNow 1497
If they win+12→ 1509
If they lose-12→ 1485

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1506 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.62
TBD
Strike accuracy
36%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.32
TBD
Strike defense
47%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.75
TBD
Takedown accuracy
67%
TBD
Takedown defense
75%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Joshua OnwordiShonie Carter
1450150020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
14 (27%)
2 (29%)
Submission
13 (25%)
5 (71%)
Decision
25 (48%)

Combat Edge model read

Joshua Onwordi70%
Shonie Carter 30%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Joshua Onwordi a 70% favorite over Shonie Carter in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1502 vs 1497), separated by just 5 points.

Shonie Carter enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Joshua Onwordi finishes 29% of wins inside the distance, Shonie Carter 52%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.