Josias Musasa vs Won Il Kwon
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-2-0Record14-6-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'10"
74"Reach71.5"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1635
If they lose-16→ 1603
If they win+16→ 1635
If they lose-16→ 1603
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1539 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1576 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Josias MusasaWon Il Kwon
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Won Il Kwon53%
Josias Musasa 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Won Il Kwon a 53% favorite over Josias Musasa in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Josias Musasa's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1619 vs 1619), separated by just 0 points.
Josias Musasa enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Won Il Kwon enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Josias Musasa finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Won Il Kwon 93%.
Josias Musasa carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.