Josue Vinueza vs Shunichi Shimizu
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-3-0Record35-28-10
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'6"
-ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+25→ 1516
If they lose-23→ 1468
If they win+12→ 1513
If they lose-12→ 1489
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Josue VinuezaShunichi Shimizu
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Josue Vinueza57%
Shunichi Shimizu 43%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Josue Vinueza a 57% favorite over Shunichi Shimizu in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Shunichi Shimizu's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1491 vs 1501), separated by just 10 points.
Josue Vinueza enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Josue Vinueza finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Shunichi Shimizu 68%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.