Combat Edge Intelligence

Jozef Wittner vs Rustam Serbiev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-7-0Record9-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
74"Reach69"
170 lbsWeight169 lbs
MMA Top Team KosiceTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jozef WittnerNow 1544
If they win+16→ 1560
If they lose-16→ 1528
Rustam SerbievNow 1540
If they win+16→ 1556
If they lose-16→ 1524

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1519 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1498 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jozef WittnerRustam Serbiev
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (19%)
KO/TKO
5 (56%)
8 (50%)
Submission
4 (44%)
5 (31%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Jozef Wittner and Rustam Serbiev within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1544 vs 1540), separated by just 4 points.

Jozef Wittner enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Jozef Wittner finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Rustam Serbiev 100%.

Jozef Wittner carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.