Combat Edge Intelligence

Jozef Wittner vs Senan Coakley

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-7-0Record2-0-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'1"
74"Reach-
170 lbsWeight170 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jozef WittnerNow 1544
If they win+16→ 1560
If they lose-16→ 1528
Senan CoakleyNow 1546
If they win+24→ 1570
If they lose-24→ 1522

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1521 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 2 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Jozef WittnerSenan Coakley
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (19%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
8 (50%)
Submission
0 (0%)
5 (31%)
Decision
2 (100%)

Combat Edge model read

Jozef Wittner51%
Senan Coakley 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jozef Wittner a 51% favorite over Senan Coakley in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Senan Coakley's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1544 vs 1546), separated by just 2 points.

Jozef Wittner enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Senan Coakley enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Jozef Wittner finishes 69% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.