Combat Edge Intelligence

João Pedro Saldanha vs Willie van Rooyen

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-7-0Record8-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'7"
69"Reach-
135 lbsWeight133 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

João Pedro SaldanhaNow 1604
If they win+16→ 1620
If they lose-16→ 1588
Willie van RooyenNow 1605
If they win+16→ 1621
If they lose-16→ 1589

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1516 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

João Pedro SaldanhaWillie van Rooyen
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (22%)
KO/TKO
5 (63%)
12 (67%)
Submission
1 (13%)
2 (11%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

João Pedro Saldanha55%
Willie van Rooyen 45%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes João Pedro Saldanha a 55% favorite over Willie van Rooyen in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Willie van Rooyen's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1604 vs 1605), separated by just 1 points.

João Pedro Saldanha enters on a 3-fight win streak.

João Pedro Saldanha finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Willie van Rooyen 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.