Combat Edge Intelligence

Juan Carlos Izquierdo vs Mathieu Greco

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-3-0Record5-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'10"
-Reach-
139 lbsWeight145 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Juan Carlos IzquierdoNow 1584
If they win+16→ 1600
If they lose-16→ 1568
Mathieu GrecoNow 1583
If they win+24→ 1607
If they lose-24→ 1559

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1513 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1494 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Juan Carlos IzquierdoMathieu Greco
150015501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (29%)
KO/TKO
3 (60%)
2 (29%)
Submission
2 (40%)
3 (43%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Juan Carlos Izquierdo and Mathieu Greco within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1584 vs 1583), separated by just 1 points.

Mathieu Greco enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Juan Carlos Izquierdo finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Mathieu Greco 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.