Combat Edge Intelligence

Julian Erosa vs Ylies Djiroun

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

31-13-0Record25-9-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'1"Height5'10"
74"Reach71"
145 lbsWeight146 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamMarseille Fight Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Julian ErosaNow 1695
If they win+12→ 1707
If they lose-12→ 1683
Ylies DjirounNow 1694
If they win+12→ 1706
If they lose-12→ 1682

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1672 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1581 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.21
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
49%
Strike accuracy
TBD
6.27
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
49%
Strike defense
TBD
1.78
Takedown avg.
TBD
44%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
62%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.73
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Julian ErosaYlies Djiroun
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (39%)
KO/TKO
4 (16%)
14 (45%)
Submission
12 (48%)
5 (16%)
Decision
9 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Ylies Djiroun60%
Julian Erosa 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ylies Djiroun a 60% favorite over Julian Erosa in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Julian Erosa's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1695 vs 1694), separated by just 1 points.

Julian Erosa enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ylies Djiroun enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Julian Erosa finishes 84% of wins inside the distance, Ylies Djiroun 64%.

Julian Erosa carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.