Combat Edge Intelligence

Justin Wetzell vs Shane Campbell

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-4-0Record24-8-0
BantamweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height6'0"
70"Reach71,0"
135 lbsWeight155 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamShaolin Muay Thai

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Justin WetzellNow 1645
If they win+16→ 1661
If they lose-16→ 1629
Shane CampbellNow 1647
If they win+12→ 1659
If they lose-12→ 1635

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1579 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1535 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.99
TBD
Strike accuracy
60%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.19
TBD
Strike defense
55%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.36
TBD
Takedown accuracy
29%
TBD
Takedown defense
82%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Justin WetzellShane Campbell
1650202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (33%)
KO/TKO
9 (38%)
1 (8%)
Submission
6 (25%)
7 (58%)
Decision
9 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Justin Wetzell and Shane Campbell within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1645 vs 1647), separated by just 2 points.

Justin Wetzell enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Justin Wetzell finishes 42% of wins inside the distance, Shane Campbell 63%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.