Combat Edge Intelligence

Kēstin McClain vs Rolando Bedoya

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-0-0Record14-5-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'11"
-Reach74"
147 lbsWeight170 lbs
Roughhouse BoxingTeamChute Boxe· 1684 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kēstin McClainNow 1622
If they win+24→ 1646
If they lose-24→ 1598
Rolando BedoyaNow 1623
If they win+16→ 1639
If they lose-16→ 1607

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1510 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1572 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
7.29
Not available
Strike accuracy
49%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.38
Not available
Strike defense
53%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0
Not available
Takedown accuracy
0%
Not available
Takedown defense
33%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Kēstin McClainRolando Bedoya
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (60%)
KO/TKO
4 (29%)
1 (20%)
Submission
3 (21%)
1 (20%)
Decision
7 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Rolando Bedoya56%
Kēstin McClain 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Rolando Bedoya a 56% favorite over Kēstin McClain in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1622 vs 1623), separated by just 1 points.

Kēstin McClain enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Rolando Bedoya enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Kēstin McClain finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Rolando Bedoya 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.