Kacper Formela vs Patrick Ocheme
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-6-0Record9-1-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height6'0"
71.3"Reach76"
156 lbsWeight157 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1678
If they lose-12→ 1654
If they win+16→ 1681
If they lose-16→ 1649
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1533 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Kacper FormelaPatrick Ocheme
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kacper Formela52%
Patrick Ocheme 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Kacper Formela a 52% favorite over Patrick Ocheme in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1666 vs 1665), separated by just 1 points.
Kacper Formela enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Patrick Ocheme enters on a 7-fight win streak.
Kacper Formela finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Patrick Ocheme 63%.
Patrick Ocheme carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.