Combat Edge Intelligence

Kacper Formela vs Vener Galiev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-6-0Record38-15-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'9"
71.3"Reach-
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
Mighty Bulls GdyniaTeamRaty Team· 1671 avg Elo · 13 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kacper FormelaNow 1666
If they win+12→ 1678
If they lose-12→ 1654
Vener GalievNow 1667
If they win+12→ 1679
If they lose-12→ 1655

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1533 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1577 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Kacper FormelaVener Galiev
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (40%)
KO/TKO
20 (53%)
3 (15%)
Submission
5 (13%)
9 (45%)
Decision
13 (34%)

Combat Edge model read

Kacper Formela55%
Vener Galiev 45%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kacper Formela a 55% favorite over Vener Galiev in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Vener Galiev's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1666 vs 1667), separated by just 1 points.

Kacper Formela enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Vener Galiev enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Kacper Formela finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Vener Galiev 66%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.