Combat Edge Intelligence

Kacper Koziorzębski vs Orlando Sanders

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-6-0Record6-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'9"
-Reach-
170 lbsWeight158 lbs
Bonzai MMA· 1577 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kacper KoziorzębskiNow 1573
If they win+16→ 1589
If they lose-16→ 1557
Orlando SandersNow 1575
If they win+24→ 1599
If they lose-24→ 1551

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1533 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1504 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Kacper KoziorzębskiOrlando Sanders
15001550202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (31%)
KO/TKO
1 (17%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (67%)
9 (69%)
Decision
1 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Kacper Koziorzębski55%
Orlando Sanders 45%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kacper Koziorzębski a 55% favorite over Orlando Sanders in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Orlando Sanders's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1573 vs 1575), separated by just 2 points.

Kacper Koziorzębski enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Orlando Sanders enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Kacper Koziorzębski finishes 31% of wins inside the distance, Orlando Sanders 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.