Kacper Koziorzębski vs Trukon Carson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-6-0Record6-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
-Reach71"
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
Bonzai MMA· 1577 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamGym-O
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1589
If they lose-16→ 1557
If they win+24→ 1596
If they lose-24→ 1548
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1533 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1495 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Kacper KoziorzębskiTrukon Carson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kacper Koziorzębski57%
Trukon Carson 43%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Kacper Koziorzębski a 57% favorite over Trukon Carson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1573 vs 1572), separated by just 1 points.
Kacper Koziorzębski enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Kacper Koziorzębski finishes 31% of wins inside the distance, Trukon Carson 83%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.