Kacper Wróbel vs Niko Ceraglia
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-1-0Record3-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height6'0"
-ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
WCA WarszawaTeamAurora MMA· 1573 avg Elo · 10 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1570
If they lose-24→ 1522
If they win+24→ 1569
If they lose-24→ 1521
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1506 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Kacper WróbelNiko Ceraglia
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kacper Wróbel52%
Niko Ceraglia 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Kacper Wróbel a 52% favorite over Niko Ceraglia in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1546 vs 1545), separated by just 1 points.
Kacper Wróbel finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Niko Ceraglia 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.