Combat Edge Intelligence

Kai Kamaka III vs Magomed Sardalov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Kai Kamaka III
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Kai Kamaka III

“The Fighting Hawaiian”

18-8-1FeatherweightUFC

1659Good

Tale of the tape

18-8-1Record11-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'7"
69"Reach-
145 lbsWeight137 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamFight Club Akhmat

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kai Kamaka IIINow 1659
If they win+12→ 1671
If they lose-12→ 1647
Magomed SardalovNow 1659
If they win+16→ 1675
If they lose-16→ 1643

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1633 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1508 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.40
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
59%
Strike accuracy
TBD
5.67
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
56%
Strike defense
TBD
1.51
Takedown avg.
TBD
54%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
55%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.22
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Kai Kamaka IIIMagomed Sardalov
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (17%)
KO/TKO
5 (45%)
1 (6%)
Submission
2 (18%)
14 (78%)
Decision
4 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Magomed Sardalov71%
Kai Kamaka III 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Magomed Sardalov a 71% favorite over Kai Kamaka III in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kai Kamaka III's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1659 vs 1659), separated by just 0 points.

Magomed Sardalov enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Kai Kamaka III finishes 22% of wins inside the distance, Magomed Sardalov 64%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.