Kaiwen Li vs Lewis Byrne
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-8-0Record5-0-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'9"
69"Reach-
150 lbsWeight145 lbs
K-1 GymTeamTeam Ryano Waterford· 1584 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1626
If they lose-12→ 1602
If they win+24→ 1637
If they lose-24→ 1589
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1588 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1492 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Kaiwen LiLewis Byrne
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kaiwen Li55%
Lewis Byrne 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Kaiwen Li a 55% favorite over Lewis Byrne in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1614 vs 1613), separated by just 1 points.
Lewis Byrne enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Kaiwen Li finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Lewis Byrne 60%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.