Kaiwen Li vs Mark Holst
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
12-6-0Record12-6-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
150 lbsWeight169 lbs
K-1 GymTeamOAMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1580
If they lose-16→ 1548
If they win+16→ 1583
If they lose-16→ 1551
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1533 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Kaiwen LiMark Holst
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kaiwen Li52%
Mark Holst 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Kaiwen Li a 52% favorite over Mark Holst in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mark Holst's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1564 vs 1567), separated by just 3 points.
Kaiwen Li enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Kaiwen Li finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Mark Holst 92%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.