Kamil Oniszczuk vs Sullivan Cauley
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-5-0Record8-3-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'1"
74"Reach76"
194 lbsWeight205 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamDan's Gym
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1646
If they lose-16→ 1614
If they win+16→ 1647
If they lose-16→ 1615
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Kamil OniszczukSullivan Cauley
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sullivan Cauley56%
Kamil Oniszczuk 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Sullivan Cauley a 56% favorite over Kamil Oniszczuk in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1630 vs 1631), separated by just 1 points.
Kamil Oniszczuk enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Sullivan Cauley enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Kamil Oniszczuk finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Sullivan Cauley 88%.
Sullivan Cauley carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.