Combat Edge Intelligence

Karli Jo Patton vs Tarcísio Romano

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

2-1-0Record12-8-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'2"Height5'7"
-Reach-
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
All-American MMA AcademyTeamCerrado MMA· 1633 avg Elo · 7 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Karli Jo PattonNow 1522
If they win+24→ 1546
If they lose-24→ 1498
Tarcísio RomanoNow 1519
If they win+16→ 1535
If they lose-16→ 1503

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Karli Jo PattonTarcísio Romano
150015502026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
7 (58%)
2 (100%)
Submission
2 (17%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Tarcísio Romano53%
Karli Jo Patton 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tarcísio Romano a 53% favorite over Karli Jo Patton in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Karli Jo Patton's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1522 vs 1519), separated by just 3 points.

Tarcísio Romano 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.