Karshyga Dautbek vs Steve Garcia
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-3-0Record19-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height6'0"
-Reach75"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Tiger Muay ThaiTeamJackson-Wink MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1740
If they lose-16→ 1708
If they win+12→ 1735
If they lose-12→ 1711
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1533 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1670 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Karshyga DautbekSteve Garcia
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Karshyga Dautbek64%
Steve Garcia 36%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Karshyga Dautbek a 64% favorite over Steve Garcia in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1724 vs 1723), separated by just 1 points.
Karshyga Dautbek enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Karshyga Dautbek finishes 84% of wins inside the distance, Steve Garcia 79%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.