Combat Edge Intelligence

Karshyga Dautbek vs Yadier del Valle

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-3-0Record11-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'8"
-Reach69"
145 lbsWeight146 lbs
Tiger Muay ThaiTeamGracie Barra Westchase

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Karshyga DautbekNow 1725
If they win+16→ 1741
If they lose-16→ 1709
Yadier del ValleNow 1724
If they win+16→ 1740
If they lose-16→ 1708

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1533 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1583 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
4.05
Not available
Strike accuracy
61%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.16
Not available
Strike defense
55%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.23
Not available
Takedown accuracy
14%
Not available
Takedown defense
58%
Not available
Submission avg.
2.05

Trajectory

Karshyga DautbekYadier del Valle
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

15 (79%)
KO/TKO
3 (27%)
1 (5%)
Submission
4 (36%)
3 (16%)
Decision
4 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Yadier del Valle62%
Karshyga Dautbek 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Yadier del Valle a 62% favorite over Karshyga Dautbek in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Karshyga Dautbek's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1725 vs 1724), separated by just 1 points.

Karshyga Dautbek enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Karshyga Dautbek finishes 84% of wins inside the distance, Yadier del Valle 64%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.