Combat Edge Intelligence

Kenneth Cross vs Patrick Ocheme

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-5-0Record9-1-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
71"Reach76"
155 lbsWeight157 lbs
Michigan Top TeamTeamMayhem Fitness Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kenneth CrossNow 1664
If they win+16→ 1680
If they lose-16→ 1648
Patrick OchemeNow 1665
If they win+16→ 1681
If they lose-16→ 1649

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1558 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.20
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
58%
Strike accuracy
TBD
1.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
55%
Strike defense
TBD
1
Takedown avg.
TBD
13%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
67%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Kenneth CrossPatrick Ocheme
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (47%)
KO/TKO
5 (63%)
5 (29%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (24%)
Decision
3 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Kenneth Cross and Patrick Ocheme within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1664 vs 1665), separated by just 1 points.

Patrick Ocheme enters on a 7-fight win streak.

Kenneth Cross finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Patrick Ocheme 63%.

Patrick Ocheme carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.