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Combat Edge Intelligence

Kevin Natividad vs Neyver Melendres

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

10-5-0Record4-0-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'5"
70"Reach-
135 lbsWeight135 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kevin NatividadNow 1597
If they win+16→ 1613
If they lose-16→ 1581
Neyver MelendresNow 1598
If they win+24→ 1622
If they lose-24→ 1574

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1553 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1488 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.68
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
34%
Strike accuracy
Not available
4.29
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
48%
Strike defense
Not available
3.66
Takedown avg.
Not available
0%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
83%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Kevin NatividadNeyver Melendres
155016002026

Win method breakdown

5 (50%)
KO/TKO
3 (75%)
1 (10%)
Submission
1 (25%)
4 (40%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Kevin Natividad57%
Neyver Melendres 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kevin Natividad a 57% favorite over Neyver Melendres in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Neyver Melendres's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1597 vs 1598), separated by just 1 points.

Neyver Melendres enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Kevin Natividad finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Neyver Melendres 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.