Combat Edge Intelligence

Kevin Robledo vs Nurbek Abdykadyrov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-2-0Record7-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5′6″Height5'8"
-Reach-
150 lbsWeight147 lbs
TBDTeamJash-Kuch

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kevin RobledoNow 1559
If they win+24→ 1583
If they lose-24→ 1535
Nurbek AbdykadyrovNow 1556
If they win+16→ 1572
If they lose-16→ 1540

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1492 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
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Strike accuracy
TBD
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
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Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
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Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Kevin RobledoNurbek Abdykadyrov
15501600165020252026

Win method breakdown

2 (33%)
KO/TKO
3 (43%)
3 (50%)
Submission
1 (14%)
1 (17%)
Decision
3 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Nurbek Abdykadyrov67%
Kevin Robledo 33%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Nurbek Abdykadyrov a 67% favorite over Kevin Robledo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kevin Robledo's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1559 vs 1556), separated by just 3 points.

Kevin Robledo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Kevin Robledo finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Nurbek Abdykadyrov 57%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.